“He’ll be good for you, but it’s not that we’d vote for his sort here, you understand…”

2008 May 30
by Robert

The Telegraph:

Senator Barack Obama emerged as Europe’s favourite candidate for America’s presidency today when a poll conducted for Telegraph.co.uk gave him 52 per cent support across five of the world’s richest nations, including Britain.

John McCain, the presumed Republican nominee, received only 15 per cent of the vote in unprecedented survey covering Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Russia

Considering the global media drooling over Sen Obama (which has even reached Rupert Murdoch), it is almost amazing that Sen McCain did even that well. In any event, while fun to chew over, “polls” like this are essentially irrevelant and laughable. For not only is the methodology usually at best questionable (the people being asked for their opinions often have little substantive idea of what they are talking about, hence the large number of “don’t knows” from those willing to be honest), but in this case this “poll” is even sillier than most others like it.

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YouGov / Daily Telegraph Survey Results
Sample Size: 6256
Fieldwork: 27th – 29th May 2008
European Nation
Daily Telegraph Total Britain France Italy Germany Russia
Total 6256 2241 1005 1004 1005 1001
% of population 100 14.76 14.94 14.44 20.38 35.49
% % % % % %
Do you think that the United States is overall a force for good or force for evil in today’s world?
Force for good 27 33 28 49 25 16
Force for evil 43 35 40 27 39 56
Don’t know 30 32 32 24 36 28
The United States will elect a new President later this year. If you had a vote and the two main candidates are Senator John McCain and Barack Obama, which would you support?
Barack Obama 52 49 65 70 67 31
John McCain 15 14 8 15 6 24
Neither 18 13 14 7 17 28
Don’t know 15 24 13 8 10 17
Irrespective of who you would support to be President, who do you think would be better equipped to lead the world economy out of its current difficulties: John McCain or Barack Obama?
Barack Obama 42 37 51 59 52 28
John McCain 22 17 11 20 12 36
Neither 16 13 17 8 21 19
Don’t know 19 34 21 13 15 17

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Why is it “sillier”? First of all, on that 52-15 split (and the last question also), notice this: the survey requests a definitive, either/or answer and yet still manages to include a “neither”? A “don’t know” is acceptable for those who beg off the question, but why do respondents have the right to a “neither”? Obama or McCain is the choice.

So, ask them to choose. Yet some couldn’t even do that, and that’s bad enough. But more telling would seem to be that unsaid, but which we all well-know: how that “majority” supposedly supporting Sen Obama would in all likelihood never dream of choosing someone like him as a national leader for their own countries.

Who needs to “expand” their horizons? As Sen Obama’s serious run itself demonstrates, it’s not Americans. In short, when the son of a Kenyan Muslim immigrant is in line to become the next head of government and chief of state combined for any European country, this blog will then give a nod to the validity of such people’s prescriptive suggestions on “the correct” leader for the U.S. But not before.

One Response
  1. 2008 May 31

    Did you read the comments to that article? Hah!

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